In an annual tradition, South Point sportswriters posted lines on this year’s 99 college football games on Friday and the sharp-edged bookies hit it off on the spot.
Bettors wait in line to place a maximum of two bets of $2,000 each before heading to the back of the line to do so again.
Chris Andrews, director of sports betting at South Point, said the streak of bettors was “100 percent sharp”. Sophisticated play caused the book to move 30 lines with two or more points and nine lines with four or more points.
“They helped me rank my strength,” Andrews said. “It’s good to get some outside opinions. Some of these guys, like Paul Stone, are betting on a lot of things. He’s a guy who follows this probably more closely than I do, and I should give him a lot of respect for what he puts into it.”
Stone, a Texas-based hand-trainer and long-time contributor to the Review-Journal, made 14 bets in the opening lines on Friday. As of Monday afternoon, his bet tickets averaged 3.3 points.
His first bet on Navy +19 was on the Air Force on October 1. Within an hour, the Air Force had dropped to -12 in the biggest move on the board.
Stone’s second Iowa +13 bet was on Iowa on September 10.
Stone admitted that betting on the Games of the Year in early June can be somewhat of a guessing game.
“If I get an A team +6 points in the summer and have 7 points available during a match week, not only have I failed in my operation, I have failed miserably,” he said.
Based on current numbers, Stone said he still recommends playing two games on November 12: Texas A&M -4 over Auburn and Wake Forest -2½ over North Carolina.
“Auburn has had a lot of attrition on the roster since Brian Harsin took over before the start of the 2021 season,” said Paulstonesports. “Wake Forest is bringing back plenty of firepower up front, including quarterback Sam Hartman, while North Carolina is looking to replace quarterback Sam Howell.”
Team exaggerated, underestimated
Based on the set of sharp bets, Andrews said he overestimated Oklahoma, Notre Dame and Brigham Young and underestimated Alabama and Southern California.
Alabama blasted off -12 to -16 over Texas (September 10), -6 degrees to -10 degrees over Tennessee (October 15), -18 to -21 over Auburn (November 26) and -13 degrees to -14 degrees over Texas A&M (October 8).
Andrews said that he ranked Ohio State as the best team in the country at the expense of Alabama.
“I haven’t changed any power ratings yet,” he said, “but I’ll have to take a look at Alabama.” “The perception is that Alabama is going to be the best team in the country. I had them second best. I wasn’t that far. It’s not like Ohio State was miles ahead of Alabama.”
USC, under first-year coach Lincoln Riley, went from +12 to +7 in Utah (October 15) and +5 to +1½ at UCLA (November 19).
“It was very difficult to assess USC with a new coach in attendance,” Andrews said. “But obviously disabled people think USC is going to be very, very good this year.”
The Fighting Irish, led by first-year coach Marcus Freeman, dropped from -20 to -15 over Stanford (October 15), from -5 to -3 at USC (November 26) and from -33 to -32 at home on UNLV (October 22).
“Notre Dame has a new coach, but I still think they’re going to be very good,” Andrews said. “They disagree with me on that.”
BYU dropped from -8 to -4 degrees over Baylor (September 10), -24 to -19 over Utah (September 29) and -5 to -1 degrees over Arkansas (October 15).
“We have a lot of BYU games on the board just because we’ve got a lot of BYU fans in this town. They make a lot of money for and against,” Andrews said. “BYU rated it very high. But we had some disagreement there.”
In what Andrews said was annual summer weather, he overestimated the Sooners, who dropped from -14 to -11 over Kansas (September 24), -7 to -4 degrees over Texas (October 8), -14 to – 11½ over Baylor (November 5) and -13 to -10 over Oklahoma (November 19).
“I thought Oklahoma would be very good,” Andrews said. “But they bet against Oklahoma just about everywhere.”
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